It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?It's amazing. Remember the picture we drew in the post last week? I didn't wipe it here, so I'll show it to you. Last week, we talked about stepping back to confirm the trend intensity, and touched the horizontal center near 3375 to get a grade 4b. In fact, from our point of view, Thursday was already a short-selling structure with long-term exhaustion. As a result, a positive line was directly repaired, and if it was wrong, it was beaten to attention. You said that the national team didn't know the technology, but he knew the long-short power too well. Let's take a look at the current market in combination with the macro.So for the current index, since you price this information, in principle, it is not allowed to fall below the starting point of information pricing, and the starting point resonates with the trend and horizontal central neckline, then neither 3380 nor the original trend is allowed to fall below in a short period of time.
One son will be fully revitalized.Let's talk about the plate again. Let's try to do certainty, look for certainty logic, and make plans at the end of this year's last point. For example, last week we said that institutions are very optimistic about tourism. In fact, everyone is familiar with the stimulation of tourism in winter. There is nothing new about an Asian Winter Games, which corresponds to a Dalian Shengya and a Changbai Mountain. These are all things stimulated by winning numbers's policies. Earlier, we told you that one of them is a Zhuang stock. Just take a research report from the seller's research institute before posting last week. Look at this week, the amount is at a new high. You said that these managers will definitely take it, but it will become a relay. If you get out before the chips are loose, your net worth will accelerate to a new high. After all, the optimization mechanism of the last elimination system is still terrible for the iron rice bowl. From a macro perspective, it is definitely an opportunity for local financial control platform companies to be involved in debt conversion in the next six months, and it will take half a year at the earliest to solve the liquidity. We will talk about it in detail later. From the perspective of the whole transformation cycle, what quantum information does the whole industrial chain of robot low-altitude ai semiconductors include, and so on? Anyone who has some fundamentals will go crazy in the slow cattle. The shortest term is the upcoming meeting and annual report. Do you want new infrastructure? Do you want certainty in the annual report? Last year, the optical module pcb was highly deterministic. What is the high certainty this year? Look at the contract liabilities. There is a group with high contract liabilities. As long as the first company discloses the compound expectation, it will be fulfilled. Combined with the new infrastructure, there may be a sustained market. You can look for it. The general direction is in the direction of resonance between wind power parts and quadruped robots. There are too few stocks and the capacity is not large, so we will not order it.One son will be fully revitalized.
This time, the difference is only 0.007. Do you still remember that the global capital market plummeted and melted on August 5? Then in September, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50bp urgently. After the data was released, the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut was 90.5%. After the meeting, the most eagle representative said that we should not look at this data, but the inflation rate. Then next Wednesday, the US cpi is also very important, so beware of short-term risks, especially the risk control at the index level.On Friday afternoon, I don't know if everyone went in to rush to play positions. In fact, for institutions, the positive line on Friday is actually not linked. Why do you say that?Concentrate on doing big things while deploying the market. When the normal operation of the economy is in the inflation range, the market has higher strength and efficiency in resource allocation, then the market has the final say. When it is in the shrinking range, the market deployment fails, such as our current long-term debt, so it is driven by policies. We must know that next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan to solve the debt. We must know the buyout reverse repurchase operation of 800 billion yuan some time ago, unless
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13